The forces at play in last week’s resounding victory for the Tories are similar to those facing the president
After the astonishing Tory win三级成人视频, I’m upgrading Donald Trump’s chances of re-election from “weak” to “strong”. Brexit and Trump dance a minuet. The surprise Brexit victory in 2016 made Trump’s election seem possible; Boris Johnson’s new majority, built on the slogan “Get Brexit Done”, suggests Trump will beat the Democrats next year. Why? Because the forces at play are so alike.
There are big differences. Brexit is far more popular than Trump for a start, partly because Trump is more controversial on multiple levels. Brexit will change some very important things in Britain but it has also reconciled the Conservatives to welfare state orthodoxy三级成人视频 – pour on the cash to keep floating voters happy – and the themes of the new government are fairness and unity.
Trump, by contrast, has deconstructed the American state both literally and figuratively, hence his impeachment. The Democrats accuse him of running the government like a business – alleging that he used foreign aid to bribe Ukraine to dish the dirt on his rivals, which the president denies.
三级成人视频But no matter how uncomfortable many British Leavers are with Trump, the fact is that they bolted from the same stable: they are populist movements, they challenge the liberal world order and you can judge both by their enemies. Trump’s opponents have repeated exactly the same mistake the Remainers made in Britain: rather than allowing a democratic decision to run its course, they have tried to overturn it. Rather than win back the people who supported it, they have insulted them. And rather than humbly accepting that they aren’t always right, they have jumped on their high horse.
三级成人视频The impeachment proceedings are a circus of virtue. The Democrats have painted the president as so corrupt, so thoroughly disreputable that, after a while, you start to quite like the guy.
When they did this to Richard Nixon in the Seventies it worked better because the public was less media savvy, but everyone is so jaded now that the pronouncement of disbelief at what Trump has done washes right over the audience: it’s theatre, soap opera, and we all know that if Mitt Romney had won in 2012, they would have impeached him, too. Plus Nixon had overseen the extension of the Vietnam War, killing thousands, whereas today there is no war and the economy is booming. Brexit and Trump have turned out to be not nearly as bad as the “experts” said.
Trump is not a good man. This ought to matter and it should have consequences. But everything about this impeachment stinks. It’s unclear that the things he has done constitute a “high crime and misdemeanour”. The Democrat House impeaches a president but the Republican Senate tries him, so we already know he is going to be acquitted. And we are only a few months away from an election, so why not let the people make the final call? If Trump’s faults are so shocking and so self-evident, why not invite the voters to get rid of him?
三级成人视频One answer is that the Democrats don’t trust them. Implicit in the legal and parliamentary strategies to overturn Brexit and Trump is the fear that the voters are too ill-educated and bigoted to make the right choices, and the issues at stake are too important to leave them up to the whims of the demos. The Left’s critique of democracy thus reframes the debate. It is no longer about whether or not Trump or Brexit are right or wrong, but are we – the electorate – allowed to choose them if we want them?
In Britain, the Left has discovered that saying “no” to the public has consequences. In America, I suspect the Democrats are about to learn the same lesson.
I have just returned from lunch with a lovely family and their very patient dog. The children were determined that their beloved French bulldog should play a role in the upcoming nativity play, but mum and dad were sceptical. Out came the dressing-up box: she was smothered in teatowels and capes. “Could she be Mary?” “No.” “What about the baby Jesus?” “Certainly not.” Then a brainwave: “Let’s make her a donkey!” “No,” said mum in a voice that implied this role was a bone of some contention. “Tristram wants to play the donkey.”
三级成人视频You often hear it said that Christmas is just for kids, and there’s no denying that it brings home to bachelors like me just how lonely we are. My family is small; it seems to get a little smaller each year. But one of the benefits of faith is that it brings new meaning to things – a world view that matures with age. I am still excited by the birth of Jesus because I see it as a personal gift to me, the gift that goes on giving, and the house is never quite empty because when you believe in God, you are never entirely alone. “Why should my heart feel lonely?” goes the song, “When Jesus is my portion/ A constant friend is He.”
Plus there is the joy of shopping for other people’s children. I texted a friend to ask if one of my godchildren, two years old, is still obsessed with mechanical diggers. “Oh yes,” came the reply. “Diggers and kangaroos. If you can find a toy that combines the two, that would be the Holy Grail.”